What if Pakistan and China declare war against India today?

What if Pakistan and China declare war against India today?

The Indian military will go on full alert and will deploy troops, tanks and missiles closer to the Chinese border in Arunachal Pradesh, Aksai Chin and Ladakh region. The vast flat valleys along the mountain ranges in the Ladakh area will allow for armored movement by both sides across the border.

The Chinese Air force in the Tibet region will launch airstrikes against Indian troops along the McMahon line- Arunachal Pradesh/ Zangnan- Aksai Chin area. Also, a contingent of Chinese fleets would deploy to the Greater Indian Ocean to confront the Indian Navy which may attempt to block Chinese oil supplies from entering the Strait of Malacca. China would utilize a large fleet of frigates, destroyers, and submarines due to the vast Indian Ocean.

The Militaries of U.S., Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam and South Korea will go on high alert, to match the posture of the Chinese armies. If Chinese missiles hit Japan or South Korea, expect both countries and the United States to retaliate in kind.

Russia may do the following:

• If it sides with India, its strategic and economic partner, then China will be surrounded from all possible sides, clearly not a desirable position.
• If it sides with Beijing, India will ally with Japan, Vietnam, Philippines and South Korea; with the support of US Military Power.

Russia would stay out of the fight but will undermine China. Russia already has pending border issues with China and is quite aware that if China defeats India, Russia itself could be the future target.

The U.S. military will go on full alert in Japan, South Korea, the Persian Gulf, Guam and Diego Garcia. U.S. spy satellites will be monitoring nuclear silos in China, India, North Korea, possibly Russia and Pakistan. The U.S. will support India in the conflict by blockading the Strait of Malacca with its aircraft carriers, submarines, and destroyers; thereby obstructing China’s oil supplies.

The response of the Chinese will be to send its frigates, destroyers, conventional diesel-electric submarines and nuclear-powered attack submarines to the Indian Ocean where it would be vulnerable to the U.S. and Indian Missile Batteries. Military pressure on China would mount as it combats the U.S. and India in the Indian Ocean and the U.S., Japan, and South Korea in the Pacific – South China & East China Sea region. China will be fighting on two fronts.

The news media around the world will broadcast the conflict. They will be a global protest to end the war.

The stock markets around the world will tumble very hard. Oil prices skyrocket as the Indian Ocean and the Strait of Malacca, the busiest oil shipping route, is blocked off; Gold prices will skyrocket, the Chinese and American currency will fall hard, and inflation will swell.

The UN Security Council will convene an emergency session within days. Russia will lead the efforts to end the war. The U.S would blame China for the conflict and may threaten weapons supplies to Taiwan and support Taiwan’s declaration of independence.

European NATO members have learned their lessons in World War 1&2 . Thus would not intervene during the war.

As the war drags on, China will use its land and sea-based missiles on Indian cities and troops & against U.S. targets in the Indian Ocean and the Pacific. China will also target U.S installations in Japan and possibly Tokyo. India and U.S. will target Chinese cities as well.

Pakistan will be tempted to join China as Indian towns suffer significant damages. Pakistan will hope this will enable them to take over Kashmir finally.

With China facing India in Ladakh, the United States in the Indian Ocean and the Pacific, plus other rivalries (Japan, Vietnam South Korea) and neutral Russia; China and Pakistan may be tempted to use nuclear weapons. If they use nuclear weapons, the U.S, Russia, France, and U.K. will respond in Kind. If this scenario occurs, well good luck to humanity.

Consequences – With Nuclear weapons

• India’s Nuclear weapons will destroy Pakistan
• A third of China mainly in the west devastated
• New Delhi, Seoul, Beijing and Tokyo destroyed
• Total casualty: 300 million dead.

Consequences – Without Nuclear Weapons

• China’s economy will suffer; revolt will start in Tibet and Hong Kong leading to its breakdown like USSR.
• The PLAN Naval strength will be significantly diminished and so would be China’s claims in South China and the East China Sea.
• India’s economy will suffer worse than China, especially in North East India.
• The United States will be victorious. No China to challenge them economically or militarily in the long run.
• Taiwan will declare independence knowing that Beijing won’t respond.
• Finally, they will be a global economic depression.

Fortunately, all parties are fully aware of the consequences and will avoid war at any cost.